SEOUL, South Korea — South Korean President Park Geun-hye met with visiting Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Saturday, a day before their three-way summit with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe that aims to repair relations strained by historical and territorial
SEOUL, South Korea — South Korean President Park Geun-hye met with visiting Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Saturday, a day before their three-way summit with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe that aims to repair relations strained by historical and territorial issues.
The meeting between Park and Li was expected to focus on trade issues between two of the region’s closest economic partners. Li might also seek assurance from Park that South Korea, a key U.S. ally, will keep a neutral stance over the recent flare-up between Washington and Beijing over the U.S. Navy’s freedom of navigation operations in the disputed waters of the South China Sea, analysts said.
About 28,500 U.S. troops are stationed in South Korea as deterrence against potential aggression from rival North Korea.
Sunday’s trilateral summit will be the first since 2012. The meetings were shelved after Japan’s ties with its two neighbors deteriorated over disputes stemming from its World War II-era aggression and territorial claims.
Park will meet separately with Abe on Monday in the first formal summit between South Korea and Japan in more than three years.
Japan and China have been gradually resuming exchanges following 2012 tensions over the control of disputed islands in the East China Sea. The rift began healing after diplomats agreed to restart contacts last November, when Chinese President Xi Jinping briefly met and shook hands with Abe.
Park has met with Xi six times since she took office in 2013, in efforts to further strengthen ties with Beijing. China is South Korea’s largest trade partner, and also has leverage with North Korea, Seoul’s hard-to-read, nuclear-armed rival.
However, Seoul’s ties with Tokyo have been persistently icy after the hawkish Abe came to power in December 2012, with the countries struggling to settle disputes stemming from Japan’s brutal colonial rule of the Korean Peninsula in the early 20th century. China has similar gripes with Japan.
The U.S. wants Japan and South Korea, important allies in the region, to be on better terms to counter China’s growing geopolitical influence, including in the South China Sea, and also to strengthen security cooperation against North Korea.
Earlier in the week, the U.S. Navy sailed a warship close to one of China’s artificial islands in the South China Sea. It was most direct challenge yet by the U.S. to artificial island building by Beijing that has upset other claimants in the South China Sea, including the Philippines, a close U.S. ally.
China claims nearly all of the South China Sea, but Washington says the waters are international territory and must be open for navigation.
At this weekend’s meetings, China might try to work its growing influence with South Korea so that Seoul maintains a muted, neutral stance in the South China Sea dispute instead of supporting the U.S., said Kim Sung-han, a professor at Seoul’s Korea University and a former South Korean deputy foreign minister. Japan is unlikely to get too involved in the South China Sea dispute since it’s not a direct party to the conflict, he said.
“Li might try to sneak a comment past Park, like how China would sensibly and carefully handle the South China Sea issue as a matter of its sovereignty,” Kim said. “The Chinese are skillful at finding ways to get their message across without disrupting the main agendas (of the meetings).”
While it’s unlikely that anything exceptional will result from the Seoul meetings, it’s meaningful that the Northeast Asian neighbors have taken the first step toward overcoming their bitter differences by restoring an environment for higher-level dialogue, said Bong Youngshik, a senior analyst at Seoul’s Asan Institute for Policy Studies.
Although much attention has been focused on history and territory, analysts believe the talks are more likely to be driven by economic and security issues. China, in particular, seems to be approaching the meetings in Seoul with a clear emphasis on economic relations as it desperately looks for ways to jolt its faltering economy.
Li, a policymaker with a focus on economic issues, will likely press Park over the free trade agreement between the countries that has yet to be ratified by South Korean lawmakers, Kim said. Li is also expected to push talks for a three-way free trade agreement including Japan that would give the Chinese economy a needed boost. The three countries had discussed the possibility of trilateral free trade in their last summit in Beijing in May 2012.
It remains to be seen whether the three leaders will be able to express something more than generalized acknowledgement and concern over North Korea’s nuclear ambitions.
Chinese envoy Liu Yunshan’s appearance at a military parade in Pyongyang earlier this month was considered a sign that China was moving to restore normalcy in its relations with North Korea, which had been seen as strained to some extent because of the latter’s provocations in recent years. Park will also be reluctant to make a strong statement against North Korea in the presence of Abe because of public concern in South Korea over Japan’s recent moves toward allowing an expanding role for its military, Bong said.
